USD Bonds for Local Currency Returns

USD Bonds for Local Currency Returns

USD Bonds for Local Currency Returns

USD Bonds for Local Currency Returns

USD Bonds for Local Currency Returns

Oct 31, 2025

Strategic Importance of US Dollar

The global debt market, estimated at approximately US$315 trillion, is fundamentally anchored by the US Dollar, which dominates 60% of global debt issuances. Additionally, the US Dollar accounts for nearly 89% of all foreign currency trades, 58% of global foreign exchange reserves, and almost half of SWIFT payments and cross-border loans. This dominance ensures superior liquidity and depth across investment-grade, high-yield, and emerging market credits, making the US Dollar a cornerstone for global portfolios.

US Dollar: Market Depth & Liquidity
Representing approximately 70% of global corporate bonds, the US dollar bonds offers unmatched depth across Investment Grade, High Yield, and Emerging Market segments. This liquidity supports tighter bid-ask spreads, better price discovery, and smoother entry and exit points—especially vital during periods of market volatility.

Comparison of Euro Bonds against US Dollar Bonds
Euro Market Size
While the Euro corporate bond market is substantial, it remains only one-third the size of the US dollar corporate bond market, as follows:

  • USD Corporate Bonds Outstanding: $13 trillion

  • EUR Corporate Bonds Outstanding: $4 trillion

Euro Market Width and Depth for EM Issuers
For Indian and other emerging market issuers, the USD bond market offers broader access, enabling greater portfolio diversification and more targeted credit exposure, as seen below:

  • Indian Issuers in USD: Over 110 bonds totaling over $60 billion

  • Indian Issuers in EUR: Just 2 EUR bonds totaling €800 million.

USD Bonds Yield Premium over Euro
USD bonds offer a substantial yield premium, enhancing overall portfolio returns without necessarily increasing credit risk, as follow:

  • Investment Grade Yield: USD 4.90% versus EUR 3.30%

  • High Yield: USD 7.00% versus EUR 5.80%

Structural Limitations of Euro Bond Market

  • The EUR corporate bond market remains fragmented, predominantly driven by issuances from France and the Netherlands.

  • Non-financial corporate issuances in the Euro area stands around €1.7 trillion (Q2 2024), with banks still being the primary source of corporate credit.

  • Liquidity remains constrained with notably lower repo and secondary market activities compared to the US dollar liquidity.

  • The investor base is heavily concentrated, with approximately 50% of bonds held within the euro area and only around 20% by non-EU investors.

  • The European System of Central Banks (ESCB) holds approximately 13% of outstanding euro corporate debt, with planned reductions of just €20 billion by mid-2025.

Dollar Returns in Local Currency
Investors can hedge USD exposure into local currencies to access deeper markets, control FX risk, and enhance returns while maintaining base currency exposure.

For example, a 3 to 4 years fixed maturity enhanced returns US dollar bond fund could deliver:

  • In US Dollars: 8% - 9% per annum

  • In SGD-hedged class: 6%-7% per annum

  • In INR-hedged class: 10%-12% per annum

These returns significantly outperform respective risk-free treasury rates, offering compelling value for local currency investors, as follows:

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© 2025 Silverdale Capital Pte Ltd. All rights reserved.

*Source: Silverdale Capital, as of 31 May 2025.

This material is distributed in Singapore by Silverdale Capital Pte Ltd (Company Registration No. 201201653E), which is licensed and regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) under a Capital Markets Services Licence. This publication or website content has not been reviewed by the MAS.

All investments carry risk. Historical performance is not necessarily indicative of future returns. Forward-looking statements or projections are not guarantees and may not be realised. Any reliance on the information presented is at the discretion of the reader. Overseas investments may entail additional risks such as currency fluctuations, reduced market liquidity, weaker regulatory protections, and heightened political or economic instability. Fixed income securities may be affected by interest rate movements and credit events. As interest rates rise, bond prices typically decline. Credit risk arises if issuers are unable to meet interest or principal repayments.

This material is provided for general informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, research, an offer, or a solicitation to transact in any financial product. It does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any individual. While the content is based on information believed to be reliable, Silverdale Capital makes no representations or warranties as to its completeness or accuracy. Any index references are for illustrative purposes only; direct investment in an index is not possible. Mentions of specific companies are for example purposes only and do not constitute a recommendation or opinion on their investment merits.

© 2025 Silverdale Capital Pte Ltd. All rights reserved.

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© 2025 Silverdale Capital Pte Ltd. All rights reserved.

*Source: Silverdale Capital, as of 31 May 2025.

This material is distributed in Singapore by Silverdale Capital Pte Ltd (Company Registration No. 201201653E), which is licensed and regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) under a Capital Markets Services Licence. This publication or website content has not been reviewed by the MAS.

All investments carry risk. Historical performance is not necessarily indicative of future returns. Forward-looking statements or projections are not guarantees and may not be realised. Any reliance on the information presented is at the discretion of the reader. Overseas investments may entail additional risks such as currency fluctuations, reduced market liquidity, weaker regulatory protections, and heightened political or economic instability. Fixed income securities may be affected by interest rate movements and credit events. As interest rates rise, bond prices typically decline. Credit risk arises if issuers are unable to meet interest or principal repayments.

This material is provided for general informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, research, an offer, or a solicitation to transact in any financial product. It does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any individual. While the content is based on information believed to be reliable, Silverdale Capital makes no representations or warranties as to its completeness or accuracy. Any index references are for illustrative purposes only; direct investment in an index is not possible. Mentions of specific companies are for example purposes only and do not constitute a recommendation or opinion on their investment merits.

© 2025 Silverdale Capital Pte Ltd. All rights reserved.

Connecting the Dots.

Sign up to receive insights and analysis from Silverdale Funds

© 2025 Silverdale Capital Pte Ltd. All rights reserved.

*Source: Silverdale Capital, as of 31 May 2025.

This material is distributed in Singapore by Silverdale Capital Pte Ltd (Company Registration No. 201201653E), which is licensed and regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) under a Capital Markets Services Licence. This publication or website content has not been reviewed by the MAS.

All investments carry risk. Historical performance is not necessarily indicative of future returns. Forward-looking statements or projections are not guarantees and may not be realised. Any reliance on the information presented is at the discretion of the reader. Overseas investments may entail additional risks such as currency fluctuations, reduced market liquidity, weaker regulatory protections, and heightened political or economic instability. Fixed income securities may be affected by interest rate movements and credit events. As interest rates rise, bond prices typically decline. Credit risk arises if issuers are unable to meet interest or principal repayments.

This material is provided for general informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, research, an offer, or a solicitation to transact in any financial product. It does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any individual. While the content is based on information believed to be reliable, Silverdale Capital makes no representations or warranties as to its completeness or accuracy. Any index references are for illustrative purposes only; direct investment in an index is not possible. Mentions of specific companies are for example purposes only and do not constitute a recommendation or opinion on their investment merits.

© 2025 Silverdale Capital Pte Ltd. All rights reserved.

Connecting the Dots.

Sign up to receive insights and analysis from Silverdale Funds

© 2025 Silverdale Capital Pte Ltd. All rights reserved.

*Source: Silverdale Capital, as of 31 May 2025.

This material is distributed in Singapore by Silverdale Capital Pte Ltd (Company Registration No. 201201653E), which is licensed and regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) under a Capital Markets Services Licence. This publication or website content has not been reviewed by the MAS.

All investments carry risk. Historical performance is not necessarily indicative of future returns. Forward-looking statements or projections are not guarantees and may not be realised. Any reliance on the information presented is at the discretion of the reader. Overseas investments may entail additional risks such as currency fluctuations, reduced market liquidity, weaker regulatory protections, and heightened political or economic instability. Fixed income securities may be affected by interest rate movements and credit events. As interest rates rise, bond prices typically decline. Credit risk arises if issuers are unable to meet interest or principal repayments.

This material is provided for general informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, research, an offer, or a solicitation to transact in any financial product. It does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any individual. While the content is based on information believed to be reliable, Silverdale Capital makes no representations or warranties as to its completeness or accuracy. Any index references are for illustrative purposes only; direct investment in an index is not possible. Mentions of specific companies are for example purposes only and do not constitute a recommendation or opinion on their investment merits.

© 2025 Silverdale Capital Pte Ltd. All rights reserved.

Connecting the Dots.

Sign up to receive insights and analysis from Silverdale Funds

© 2025 Silverdale Capital Pte Ltd. All rights reserved.

*Source: Silverdale Capital, as of 31 May 2025.

This material is distributed in Singapore by Silverdale Capital Pte Ltd (Company Registration No. 201201653E), which is licensed and regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) under a Capital Markets Services Licence. This publication or website content has not been reviewed by the MAS.

All investments carry risk. Historical performance is not necessarily indicative of future returns. Forward-looking statements or projections are not guarantees and may not be realised. Any reliance on the information presented is at the discretion of the reader. Overseas investments may entail additional risks such as currency fluctuations, reduced market liquidity, weaker regulatory protections, and heightened political or economic instability. Fixed income securities may be affected by interest rate movements and credit events. As interest rates rise, bond prices typically decline. Credit risk arises if issuers are unable to meet interest or principal repayments.

This material is provided for general informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, research, an offer, or a solicitation to transact in any financial product. It does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any individual. While the content is based on information believed to be reliable, Silverdale Capital makes no representations or warranties as to its completeness or accuracy. Any index references are for illustrative purposes only; direct investment in an index is not possible. Mentions of specific companies are for example purposes only and do not constitute a recommendation or opinion on their investment merits.

© 2025 Silverdale Capital Pte Ltd. All rights reserved.